Betting Lines
| Spread | TCU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | TCU -150 COLO +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLO +2 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | TCU -1.4 (-3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.2 (+4.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TCU -1.6 (-3.6) | 132.6 (+3.4) | 57% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TCU -1.5 (-3.5) | 132.2 (+3.8) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TCU -1.4 (-3.4) | 131.9 (+4.1) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TCU -1.6 (-3.6) | 133.0 (+3.0) | 54% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | COLO 87 – 61 TCU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | COLO 76 – 56 TCU |
| Feb 2, 2025 | TCU 68 – 57 COLO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TCU | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 14-21 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 3-17 |
| Home | 14-3 | 11-7 |
| Away | 2-9 | 0-10 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.6 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.7 | 71.9 |
| Massey | 7.9 (#73) | 6.5 (#85) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.51 (#63) | 0.74 (#110) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.58 (#78) | 0.96 (#104) |
| RPI | 0.547 (#85) | 0.484 (#215) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TCU | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 29.1% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.2% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 31.9% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 26.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 24.4% |
Game Analysis
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