Betting Lines
| Spread | UTAH -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Over |
| Money | UTAH -130 UCF +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTAH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCF +15 | 159 | Lost |
| Massey | UTAH -2.6 (-17.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.1 (-1.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTAH -2.3 (-17.3) | 156.3 (+2.7) | 57% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTAH -1.8 (-16.8) | 154.7 (+4.3) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTAH -1.5 (-16.5) | 153.9 (+5.1) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UTAH -1.8 (-16.8) | 153.9 (+5.1) | 54% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | UCF 73 – 71 UTAH |
| Feb 23, 2025 | UCF 76 – 72 UTAH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTAH | UCF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 20-17 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 7-13 |
| Home | 15-4 | 13-5 |
| Away | 1-9 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 5-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.5 | 79.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 80.4 |
| Massey | 9.5 (#61) | 6.9 (#82) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.29 (#74) | 1.38 (#72) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.64 (#75) | 1.56 (#76) |
| RPI | 0.507 (#165) | 0.536 (#106) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTAH | UCF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 39.8 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.39 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 34.7% | 32.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 28.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 65.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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