Well you know that it's a shame and a pity you were raised up in the city / And you never learned nothing about country ways "Not So Sweet Martha Lorraine" - Country Joe and the Fish
West Virginia Mountaineers
60 – 67
FINAL Neutral Conference Big 12
Colorado Buffaloes
Big 12 Conference · T-Mobile Center (Neutral) · March 12, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread WVU -6.5 Away covered
O/U 130.5 Under
Money WVU -290 / COLO +240
Model Predictions
Spread Total WVU win
Actual COLO +7 127 Lost
Massey WVU -6.0 (-13.0) — —
Massey Totals — 128.4 (-1.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 77% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 80% ✗
Baseline Plus ML WVU -4.6 (-11.6) 130.6 (-3.6) 68% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WVU -3.3 (-10.3) 130.9 (-3.9) 59% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML WVU -5.2 (-12.2) 129.4 (-2.4) 70% ✗
Baseline ML WVU -5.2 (-12.2) 130.9 (-3.9) 69% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 17, 2026 WVU 72 – 61 COLO
Jan 12, 2025 WVU 78 – 70 COLO

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WVU COLO
Overall 19-13 14-21
Conference 10-10 3-17
Home 13-4 11-7
Away 4-7 0-10
Neutral 2-2 3-4
Last 5 3-2 2-3
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 68.2 69.7
Avg Pts Against 64.8 71.9
Massey 12.6 (#43) 6.6 (#84)
Bradley-Terry 2.08 (#46) 0.86 (#98)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.41 (#51) 1.04 (#99)
RPI 0.572 (#52) 0.491 (#198)
Shooting & Four Factors WVU COLO
FG% 42.5% 44.7%
3PT% 32.7% 32.3%
REB / G 33.4 35.3
OREB / G 9.0 9.4
AST / TO 1.31 0.99
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.1% 50.8%
TOV% 16.0% 21.1%
ORB% 25.7% 28.9%
FT Rate 18.3% 27.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.2% 49.4%
Opp TOV% 19.5% 16.1%
DRB% 69.2% 71.9%
Opp FT Rate 23.5% 24.1%

Game Analysis

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