Betting Lines
| Spread | USC -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | RUTG -110 USC -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RUTG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USC +8 | 186 | Lost |
| Massey | USC -1.1 (-6.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.2 (+29.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USC -1.8 (-6.2) | 156.0 (+30.0) | 45% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USC -0.7 (-7.3) | 152.8 (+33.2) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USC -1.1 (-6.9) | 155.1 (+30.9) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | USC -1.7 (-6.3) | 155.4 (+30.6) | 44% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | USC 78 – 75 RUTG |
| Feb 23, 2025 | RUTG 95 – 85 USC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RUTG | USC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 17-18 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 7-13 |
| Home | 11-5 | 12-7 |
| Away | 3-8 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.0 | 76.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.6 | 74.6 |
| Massey | 8.0 (#71) | 9.1 (#62) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.42 (#68) | 1.29 (#74) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.09 (#62) | 2.02 (#63) |
| RPI | 0.535 (#111) | 0.535 (#110) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RUTG | USC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 48.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.4% | 36.8% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 54.6% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 26.2% | 27.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 26.5% |
Game Analysis
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