Betting Lines
| Spread | CLEM -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | CLEM -300 SMU +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLEM +3 | 111 | Won |
| Massey | CLEM -3.5 (-0.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.3 (-36.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLEM -3.9 (-0.9) | 139.9 (-28.9) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLEM -4.3 (-1.3) | 138.3 (-27.3) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLEM -4.3 (-1.3) | 141.1 (-30.1) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLEM -3.8 (-0.8) | 139.6 (-28.6) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 8, 2026 | CLEM 74 – 70 SMU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | CLEM 79 – 69 SMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLEM | SMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-7 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 18-2 | 13-7 |
| Home | 15-2 | 13-6 |
| Away | 9-3 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.1 | 79.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.8 | 71.3 |
| Massey | 15.9 (#26) | 12.4 (#44) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.98 (#16) | 1.80 (#56) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.68 (#16) | 2.15 (#60) |
| RPI | 0.621 (#13) | 0.564 (#60) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLEM | SMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 48.3% |
| 3PT% | 37.8% | 38.3% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 38.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 12.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.43 | 1.32 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.3% | 55.1% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 34.0% | 37.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.6% | 24.0% |
Game Analysis
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