Betting Lines
| Spread | MRSH -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | MRSH -550 BELL +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRSH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRSH +21 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | MRSH -11.3 (+9.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.0 (-9.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRSH -7.9 (+13.1) | 146.3 (-1.3) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRSH -8.3 (+12.7) | 142.8 (+2.2) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRSH -8.7 (+12.3) | 146.5 (-1.5) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRSH -8.9 (+12.1) | 148.5 (-3.5) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRSH | BELL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 5-26 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 2-16 |
| Home | 14-3 | 5-10 |
| Away | 5-9 | 0-16 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 70.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 81.3 |
| Massey | -1.5 (#201) | -5.5 (#276) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.77 (#244) | -3.83 (#362) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.15 (#252) | -5.07 (#357) |
| RPI | 0.450 (#230) | 0.346 (#317) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRSH | BELL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 29.2% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 29.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 7.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.35 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 53.4% |
| TOV% | 13.7% | 22.6% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 25.3% |
| FT Rate | 36.4% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 56.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 44.0% | 23.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.