Betting Lines
| Spread | TA&M -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | TA&M -275 TEX +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TA&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEX +5 | 183 | Lost |
| Massey | TA&M -3.7 (-8.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.9 (+43.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TA&M -2.6 (-7.6) | 142.0 (+41.0) | 62% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TA&M -3.8 (-8.8) | 139.0 (+44.0) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TA&M -3.8 (-8.8) | 141.2 (+41.8) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TA&M -3.9 (-8.9) | 143.3 (+39.7) | 68% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | TEX 76 – 70 TA&M |
| Jan 17, 2026 | TA&M 74 – 70 TEX |
| Jan 25, 2025 | TEX 70 – 69 TA&M |
| Jan 5, 2025 | TA&M 80 – 60 TEX |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TA&M | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 19-16 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 6-12 |
| Home | 13-3 | 11-7 |
| Away | 5-5 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.6 | 78.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.7 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 16.9 (#20) | 13.2 (#39) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.35 (#9) | 2.21 (#42) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.12 (#10) | 2.67 (#45) |
| RPI | 0.627 (#10) | 0.535 (#108) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TA&M | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.7% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 40.8 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 16.1 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.30 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 14.6% |
| ORB% | 42.2% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 28.6% | 27.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.9% | 26.6% |
Game Analysis
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