Betting Lines
| Spread | ORE -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | ORE -130 IU +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORE +13 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | ORE -2.4 (+10.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.8 (-13.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORE -1.8 (+11.2) | 142.3 (-11.3) | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORE -2.6 (+10.4) | 142.3 (-11.3) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORE -2.3 (+10.7) | 141.7 (-10.7) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORE -2.1 (+10.9) | 141.5 (-10.5) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 10, 2026 | IU 92 – 74 ORE |
| Mar 5, 2025 | ORE 73 – 64 IU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORE | IU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 10-10 |
| Home | 12-4 | 14-4 |
| Away | 7-4 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.5 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 72.0 |
| Massey | 14.2 (#34) | 11.8 (#49) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.95 (#15) | 2.05 (#48) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.47 (#25) | 2.64 (#46) |
| RPI | 0.625 (#12) | 0.581 (#45) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORE | IU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 1.35 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 31.5% |
| FT Rate | 25.8% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.1% | 21.4% |
Game Analysis
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