Betting Lines
| Spread | TTU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | TTU -110 ARIZ -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARIZ +6 | 166 | Lost |
| Massey | TTU -1.1 (-7.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.6 (+10.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TTU -1.6 (-7.6) | 153.6 (+12.4) | 54% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TTU -1.3 (-7.3) | 153.7 (+12.3) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TTU -2.1 (-8.1) | 158.7 (+7.3) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TTU -1.7 (-7.7) | 156.8 (+9.2) | 60% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | TTU 78 – 75 ARIZ |
| Feb 9, 2025 | ARIZ 82 – 73 TTU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | TTU 70 – 54 ARIZ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TTU | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-9 | 24-13 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 14-6 |
| Home | 15-3 | 13-3 |
| Away | 8-2 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 5-5 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.9 | 82.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.5 | 73.3 |
| Massey | 20.7 (#8) | 19.6 (#11) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.94 (#16) | 2.59 (#32) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.86 (#15) | 3.44 (#28) |
| RPI | 0.591 (#31) | 0.582 (#39) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TTU | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 47.3% |
| 3PT% | 38.1% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 39.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.66 | 1.45 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.6% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 14.9% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 34.2% | 36.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 29.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
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