Betting Lines
| Spread | UAB -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | UAB -245 ECU +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UAB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UAB +17 | 171 | Won |
| Massey | UAB -3.7 (+13.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.7 (+13.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UAB -2.5 (+14.5) | 153.7 (+17.3) | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UAB -3.4 (+13.6) | 151.5 (+19.5) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UAB -3.0 (+14.0) | 151.9 (+19.1) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UAB -3.0 (+14.0) | 153.4 (+17.6) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | UAB 90 – 83 ECU |
| Jan 11, 2026 | UAB 87 – 85 ECU |
| Feb 12, 2025 | ECU 82 – 75 UAB |
| Jan 20, 2024 | UAB 69 – 61 ECU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UAB | ECU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-13 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 10-8 |
| Home | 14-4 | 12-6 |
| Away | 7-6 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.4 | 74.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.6 | 73.9 |
| Massey | 3.2 (#114) | -0.5 (#167) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.52 (#125) | 0.07 (#161) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.55 (#127) | -0.12 (#175) |
| RPI | 0.525 (#122) | 0.503 (#166) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UAB | ECU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 39.3 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 14.6 | 12.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.63 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 13.9% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 38.5% | 34.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 26.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.