Betting Lines
| Spread | GT -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | GT -275 JXST +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JXST +17 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | GT -6.0 (-23.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.5 (+3.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GT -5.6 (-22.6) | 140.0 (+5.0) | 69% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GT -5.3 (-22.3) | 140.3 (+4.7) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GT -5.8 (-22.8) | 142.0 (+3.0) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GT -6.1 (-23.1) | 140.9 (+4.1) | 66% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GT | JXST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-17 | 23-13 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 12-6 |
| Home | 14-6 | 12-2 |
| Away | 2-9 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.1 | 70.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 69.3 |
| Massey | 4.9 (#97) | 2.1 (#129) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.79 (#107) | 0.87 (#99) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.88 (#107) | 0.92 (#106) |
| RPI | 0.491 (#187) | 0.547 (#84) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GT | JXST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 13.3% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 19.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.