Betting Lines
| Spread | SMU -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | SMU -500 UNI +360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SMU +10 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | SMU -11.0 (-1.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.8 (-10.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SMU -10.6 (-0.6) | 140.3 (-4.3) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SMU -9.9 (+0.1) | 139.0 (-3.0) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SMU -11.5 (-1.5) | 141.6 (-5.6) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SMU -10.7 (-0.7) | 140.3 (-4.3) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SMU | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 14-6 |
| Home | 13-6 | 14-3 |
| Away | 7-4 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.9 | 72.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.3 | 67.8 |
| Massey | 12.5 (#43) | 4.7 (#98) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.77 (#57) | 0.81 (#102) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.14 (#60) | 0.91 (#106) |
| RPI | 0.557 (#63) | 0.545 (#86) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SMU | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.1% | 48.8% |
| 3PT% | 37.6% | 37.2% |
| REB / G | 38.4 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.30 | 1.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.7% | 55.5% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 36.7% | 25.6% |
| FT Rate | 26.4% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 74.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.