Betting Lines
| Spread | UCSD -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | UCSD -320 SEA +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCSD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEA +13 | 155 | Lost |
| Massey | UCSD -11.0 (-24.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.2 (+7.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCSD -9.3 (-22.3) | 139.6 (+15.4) | 70% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCSD -7.0 (-20.0) | 135.8 (+19.2) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCSD -9.2 (-22.2) | 142.6 (+12.4) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UCSD -10.5 (-23.5) | 141.7 (+13.3) | 69% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 26, 2023 | SEA 79 – 67 UCSD |
| Nov 8, 2022 | SEA 85 – 71 UCSD |
| Dec 13, 2021 | SEA 73 – 51 UCSD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCSD | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 30-5 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 18-2 | 8-8 |
| Home | 13-2 | 9-5 |
| Away | 12-2 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-1 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.5 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.0 | 67.6 |
| Massey | 4.0 (#107) | 0.2 (#163) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.42 (#144) | -2.63 (#347) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.65 (#147) | -3.36 (#337) |
| RPI | 0.569 (#108) | 0.181 (#360) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCSD | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.4% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 37.0% | 39.4% |
| REB / G | 32.3 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.81 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 13.4% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.2% | 59.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.4% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 76.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.6% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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