Betting Lines
| Spread | CLE -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | CLE -195 QUC +165 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLE +15 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | CLE -1.9 (+13.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.6 (+20.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLE -1.8 (+13.2) | 139.3 (+21.7) | 58% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLE -2.0 (+13.0) | 139.0 (+22.0) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLE -2.0 (+13.0) | 139.4 (+21.6) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLE -2.5 (+12.5) | 139.5 (+21.5) | 57% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLE | QUC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-13 | 20-15 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 11-7 |
| Home | 14-4 | 9-5 |
| Away | 7-7 | 9-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.3 | 75.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.0 | 76.3 |
| Massey | -0.6 (#168) | -2.6 (#206) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.15 (#156) | -0.21 (#183) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.29 (#144) | -0.51 (#204) |
| RPI | 0.507 (#160) | 0.489 (#191) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLE | QUC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 34.5% | 31.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.3% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 65.9% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.8% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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