Betting Lines
| Spread | UTAH -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Over |
| Money | BTLR +135 UTAH -155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BTLR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BTLR +2 | 170 | Won |
| Massey | UTAH -1.3 (+3.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.0 (+20.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTAH -2.1 (+4.1) | 151.1 (+18.9) | 44% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTAH -1.4 (+3.4) | 149.4 (+20.6) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTAH -1.6 (+3.6) | 151.7 (+18.3) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UTAH -2.1 (+4.1) | 153.0 (+17.0) | 47% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BTLR | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-20 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 8-12 |
| Home | 9-8 | 15-4 |
| Away | 2-9 | 1-9 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 75.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.9 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 7.7 (#73) | 9.0 (#63) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.56 (#124) | 1.31 (#75) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.09 (#96) | 1.61 (#79) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#166) | 0.498 (#170) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BTLR | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 39.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 1.40 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 26.4% | 34.9% |
| FT Rate | 27.7% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 11.5% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.5% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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