Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -27.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +35 | 171 | Won |
| Massey | TENN -22.3 (+12.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.4 (+32.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -18.7 (+16.3) | 139.2 (+31.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -21.7 (+13.3) | 136.8 (+34.2) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -20.3 (+14.7) | 137.6 (+33.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -20.4 (+14.6) | 136.7 (+34.3) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 21, 2022 | TENN 86 – 44 APSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TENN | APSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 30-8 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 8-10 |
| Home | 16-1 | 8-5 |
| Away | 6-5 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 8-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 2-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.0 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.1 | 75.8 |
| Massey | 16.5 (#12) | 1.4 (#143) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.35 (#22) | 2.85 (#6) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.52 (#26) | 3.95 (#14) |
| RPI | 0.694 (#26) | 0.771 (#9) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TENN | APSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 56.0% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 42.9% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 64.5% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 21.7% | 14.6% |
| ORB% | 36.0% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 27.7% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.6% | 46.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 21.3% |
| DRB% | 74.8% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
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