Boise State
Broncos
89
–
59
FINAL
Neutral
College Basketball Crown
George Washington
Revolutionaries
Betting Lines
| Spread | BOIS -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | BOIS -415 GW +325 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BOIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BOIS +30 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | BOIS -9.0 (+21.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.2 (+9.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BOIS -9.3 (+20.7) | 139.3 (+8.7) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BOIS -8.9 (+21.1) | 139.6 (+8.4) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BOIS -9.0 (+21.0) | 139.6 (+8.4) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BOIS -7.4 (+22.6) | 141.9 (+6.1) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BOIS | GW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-11 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 9-9 |
| Home | 13-3 | 13-4 |
| Away | 6-5 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 7-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.1 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.0 | 68.6 |
| Massey | 11.6 (#50) | 2.6 (#127) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.94 (#51) | 0.45 (#129) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.45 (#52) | 0.57 (#128) |
| RPI | 0.568 (#55) | 0.518 (#137) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BOIS | GW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 33.2% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 30.5% | 28.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 77.4% | 67.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 19.5% |
Game Analysis
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