Betting Lines
| Spread | NEB -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | ASU +240 NEB -290 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ASU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NEB +8 | 164 | Lost |
| Massey | NEB -2.3 (-5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.2 (+16.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NEB -3.5 (-4.5) | 151.0 (+13.0) | 39% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NEB -3.5 (-4.5) | 149.1 (+14.9) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NEB -3.6 (-4.4) | 152.4 (+11.6) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NEB -2.9 (-5.1) | 150.5 (+13.5) | 33% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ASU | NEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 21-14 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 7-13 |
| Home | 5-9 | 10-6 |
| Away | 3-8 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 6-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L6 | W4 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.8 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 8.3 (#68) | 10.6 (#58) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.26 (#75) | 1.71 (#57) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.65 (#73) | 2.52 (#51) |
| RPI | 0.532 (#105) | 0.554 (#70) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ASU | NEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 25.2% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 26.0% | 26.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 19.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.