Betting Lines
| Spread | WSU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 161.5 Over |
| Money | WSU -140 GTWN +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GTWN +3 | 167 | Lost |
| Massey | GTWN -3.2 (+0.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.5 (+16.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GTWN -2.8 (-0.2) | 152.4 (+14.6) | 42% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GTWN -1.3 (-1.7) | 149.6 (+17.4) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GTWN -4.0 (+1.0) | 151.5 (+15.5) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GTWN -2.7 (-0.3) | 152.3 (+14.7) | 31% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WSU | GTWN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 18-16 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 8-12 |
| Home | 10-4 | 14-5 |
| Away | 5-7 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.9 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.6 | 69.6 |
| Massey | 3.4 (#112) | 6.6 (#85) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.78 (#108) | 0.71 (#113) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.21 (#89) | 0.87 (#107) |
| RPI | 0.522 (#124) | 0.491 (#188) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WSU | GTWN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.1% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.7% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 18.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 66.8% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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