Betting Lines
| Spread | NHVN -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 121.5 Under |
| Money | NHVN -148 STO +124 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NHVN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NHVN +13 | 115 | Won |
| Massey | NHVN -4.0 (+9.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 118.7 (-3.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NHVN -2.6 (+10.4) | 124.5 (-9.5) | 62% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NHVN -2.5 (+10.5) | 125.4 (-10.4) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NHVN -2.5 (+10.5) | 123.0 (-8.0) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NHVN -3.1 (+9.9) | 123.3 (-8.3) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | NHVN 70 – 55 STO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NHVN | STO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-17 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 8-10 |
| Home | 9-6 | 8-5 |
| Away | 5-11 | 4-15 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.5 | 64.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 69.5 |
| Massey | -11.4 (#326) | -12.5 (#334) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.84 (#324) | -2.45 (#347) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.47 (#329) | -3.30 (#347) |
| RPI | 0.436 (#302) | 0.404 (#342) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NHVN | STO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 40.0% |
| 3PT% | 29.5% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 30.0 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 7.2 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 46.3% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 22.4% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 18.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 13.1% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
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