Betting Lines
| Spread | ISU -34.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ISU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ISU +35 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | ISU -17.4 (+17.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.3 (-16.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ISU -17.8 (+17.2) | 145.1 (-6.1) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ISU -21.5 (+13.5) | 146.6 (-7.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ISU -20.3 (+14.7) | 145.7 (-6.7) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 8, 2022 | ISU 88 – 39 IUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ISU | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 6-14 |
| Home | 15-2 | 6-8 |
| Away | 6-5 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.3 | 72.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 79.7 |
| Massey | 5.6 (#86) | -5.0 (#269) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.78 (#120) | -2.93 (#355) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.11 (#125) | -4.80 (#357) |
| RPI | 0.472 (#212) | 0.295 (#342) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ISU | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.9% | 36.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 38.5 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.95 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.1% | 45.8% |
| TOV% | 13.7% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 35.3% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 28.1% | 34.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 39.5% | 58.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 28.3% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 77.9% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.2% | 25.2% |
Game Analysis
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