Betting Lines
| Spread | OSU -24.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 159.5 Over |
| Money | OSU -10000 PFW +2500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OSU +26 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | OSU -14.6 (+11.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 176.6 (-14.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OSU -10.0 (+16.0) | 164.3 (-2.3) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OSU -8.9 (+17.1) | 156.7 (+5.3) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OSU | PFW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 11-9 |
| Home | 14-3 | 11-4 |
| Away | 5-6 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.3 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 78.8 |
| Massey | -5.0 (#228) | 0.3 (#127) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.03 (#141) | -0.26 (#220) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.02 (#141) | -0.36 (#185) |
| RPI | 0.250 (#11) | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OSU | PFW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 63.0% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 26.7% |
| REB / G | 41.0 | 27.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 6.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 70.4% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 45.8% | 15.8% |
| FT Rate | 77.8% | 14.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.9% | 65.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 75.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.4% | 26.3% |
Game Analysis
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