Betting Lines
| Spread | NICH -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | EIU +130 NICH -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EIU +8 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | EIU -25.6 (-17.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.0 (-14.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EIU -13.0 (-5.0) | 132.3 (-10.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EIU -10.9 (-2.9) | 133.9 (-11.9) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EIU | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 12-10 |
| Home | 9-6 | 6-6 |
| Away | 3-13 | 7-12 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.6 | 71.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 75.7 |
| Massey | 5.0 (#61) | -2.7 (#196) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.34 (#183) | -0.34 (#209) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.34 (#156) | -0.50 (#210) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EIU | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.1% | 30.2% |
| 3PT% | 22.2% | 16.7% |
| REB / G | 41.0 | 30.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 5.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.20 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 41.3% | 34.0% |
| TOV% | 28.3% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 12.2% |
| FT Rate | 54.3% | 28.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 40.9% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 66.0% | 62.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 38.2% | 19.4% |
Game Analysis
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