George Washington
Revolutionaries
99
–
95
FINAL
Neutral
Basketball Hall of Fame Tip-Off
South Florida
Bulls
Betting Lines
| Spread | USF -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 159.5 Over |
| Money | GW +100 USF -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GW +4 | 194 | Won |
| Massey | USF -5.0 (+9.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.5 (+51.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | USF -1.5 (+5.5) | 135.8 (+58.2) | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USF -2.2 (+6.2) | 141.0 (+53.0) | 39% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GW | USF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-16 | 25-9 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 15-3 |
| Home | 12-4 | 13-2 |
| Away | 4-8 | 9-3 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.9 | 86.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 76.5 |
| Massey | 0.7 (#130) | 5.7 (#48) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#71) | 0.34 (#98) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.49 (#86) | 0.52 (#61) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GW | USF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 10.0% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 46.0 | 46.0 |
| OREB / G | 16.0 | 17.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 1.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 54.8% |
| TOV% | 23.9% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 47.1% | 48.6% |
| FT Rate | 18.6% | 54.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 36.3% | 41.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.5% | 25.8% |
| DRB% | 85.7% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.6% | 30.5% |
Game Analysis
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