Betting Lines
| Spread | FAU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Over |
| Money | COFC +215 FAU -260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COFC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAU +17 | 171 | Lost |
| Massey | COFC -4.5 (-21.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.7 (+10.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FAU -0.8 (-16.2) | 146.9 (+24.1) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAU -0.8 (-16.2) | 149.6 (+21.4) | 49% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 16, 2024 | COFC 119 – 116 FAU |
| Dec 2, 2023 | FAU 90 – 74 COFC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COFC | FAU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-11 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 9-9 |
| Home | 11-4 | 11-4 |
| Away | 8-4 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.3 | 77.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.9 | 75.3 |
| Massey | 1.0 (#125) | -3.5 (#211) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.34 (#236) | 0.44 (#48) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.47 (#185) | 0.54 (#49) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COFC | FAU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.1% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 45.5% | 52.2% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.2% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 36.4% | 19.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.0% | 19.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 66.1% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 8.1% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 67.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 17.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.