Betting Lines
| Spread | CONN -32.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CONN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CONN +27 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | CONN -13.5 (+13.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.0 (+6.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CONN -8.4 (+18.6) | 142.0 (+9.0) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CONN -12.7 (+14.3) | 138.6 (+12.4) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CONN -11.2 (+15.8) | 139.2 (+11.8) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CONN | COLU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 34-6 | 16-12 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 5-9 |
| Home | 15-2 | 9-5 |
| Away | 9-3 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 10-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.6 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.2 | 73.5 |
| Massey | 7.2 (#53) | 7.6 (#51) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.43 (#129) | 1.55 (#30) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.67 (#123) | 2.36 (#29) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#120) | 0.500 (#120) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CONN | COLU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 55.2% | 55.1% |
| 3PT% | 37.0% | 50.0% |
| REB / G | 43.0 | 41.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.73 | 0.69 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 62.0% | 63.3% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 25.1% |
| ORB% | 41.7% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 27.2% | 18.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 36.9% | 35.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.7% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 83.6% | 78.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.3% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.