Betting Lines
| Spread | LONG -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | BING +250 LONG -300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BING win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LONG +6 | 126 | Lost |
| Massey | LONG -0.7 (-5.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.8 (-12.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LONG -1.2 (-4.8) | 139.4 (-13.4) | 36% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LONG -3.3 (-2.7) | 135.3 (-9.3) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LONG -3.2 (-2.8) | 141.6 (-15.6) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LONG -0.8 (-5.2) | 139.3 (-13.3) | 34% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 15, 2025 | LONG 90 – 82 BING |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BING | LONG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 7-9 |
| Home | 9-4 | 12-4 |
| Away | 5-12 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-3 | 3-0 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 76.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.0 | 76.1 |
| Massey | -7.8 (#308) | -0.2 (#172) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.81 (#245) | 1.68 (#66) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.03 (#242) | 2.44 (#64) |
| RPI | 0.469 (#216) | 0.565 (#109) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BING | LONG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 28.6% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 37.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 24.0% | 22.2% |
| ORB% | 25.0% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 44.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.3% | 43.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 9.4% | 24.8% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 68.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 35.8% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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