Betting Lines
| Spread | IONA -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Over |
| Money | KC +190 IONA -225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IONA +14 | 196 | Lost |
| Massey | KC -12.1 (-26.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.4 (+32.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KC -1.9 (-15.9) | 149.3 (+46.7) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | KC -2.7 (-16.7) | 151.2 (+44.8) | 60% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KC | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-27 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 1-15 | 10-10 |
| Home | 3-11 | 11-3 |
| Away | 1-15 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L15 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.0 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 84.8 | 73.1 |
| Massey | -3.1 (#233) | -1.5 (#206) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.41 (#230) | 0.23 (#154) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.61 (#236) | 0.23 (#154) |
| RPI | — | 0.250 (#277) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KC | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.6% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 38.1% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 16.0 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.4% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 34.0% | 30.6% |
| FT Rate | 20.3% | 30.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 69.7% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 20.7% |
| DRB% | 66.7% | 63.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.2% | 15.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.