Betting Lines
| Spread | L-MD -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | L-MD -650 NJIT +425 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | L-MD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NJIT +2 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | L-MD -12.2 (-14.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.1 (-2.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | L-MD -4.7 (-6.7) | 130.2 (-0.2) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | L-MD -2.4 (-4.4) | 130.9 (-0.9) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | L-MD -4.6 (-6.6) | 128.7 (+1.3) | 56% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 13, 2024 | L-MD 68 – 50 NJIT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | L-MD | NJIT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 10-6 |
| Home | 8-6 | 8-6 |
| Away | 3-13 | 8-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.7 | 66.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.5 | 73.7 |
| Massey | -4.9 (#268) | -4.5 (#256) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.31 (#322) | -0.57 (#242) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.00 (#324) | -1.24 (#284) |
| RPI | 0.250 (#308) | 0.250 (#308) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | L-MD | NJIT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 34.0% | 39.5% |
| 3PT% | 18.2% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 29.0 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 6.0 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.45 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 38.0% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 17.6% | 20.5% |
| FT Rate | 36.0% | 10.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.5% | 40.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 65.7% | 60.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.6% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
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