Betting Lines
| Spread | MRSH -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | MRSH -450 ELON +340 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRSH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRSH +7 | 185 | Won |
| Massey | MRSH -20.0 (-13.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 164.1 (+20.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRSH -15.2 (-8.2) | 154.7 (+30.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRSH -10.8 (-3.8) | 153.8 (+31.2) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRSH -17.7 (-10.7) | 151.2 (+33.8) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 29, 2024 | ELON 73 – 59 MRSH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRSH | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 6-12 |
| Home | 13-4 | 8-8 |
| Away | 6-8 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.5 | 76.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.9 | 79.3 |
| Massey | 12.1 (#24) | 2.9 (#124) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.98 (#4) | 1.68 (#37) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.31 (#4) | 2.11 (#50) |
| RPI | 0.771 (#21) | 0.500 (#157) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRSH | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.7% | 40.0% |
| 3PT% | 37.3% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 39.5 | 46.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 19.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 4.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.2% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 27.0% | 5.4% |
| ORB% | 36.5% | 40.4% |
| FT Rate | 18.5% | 28.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.8% | 58.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.1% | 14.7% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.3% | 25.4% |
Game Analysis
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