Betting Lines
| Spread | MIZ -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Under |
| Money | MIZ -340 MINN +270 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MIZ +23 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | MIZ -7.7 (+15.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.6 (-12.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MIZ -5.5 (+17.5) | 147.0 (-4.0) | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MIZ -6.4 (+16.6) | 145.2 (-2.2) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MIZ -8.7 (+14.3) | 147.8 (-4.8) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MIZ -8.9 (+14.1) | 146.5 (-3.5) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 17, 2023 | MIZ 70 – 68 MINN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MIZ | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 8-12 |
| Home | 15-3 | 13-4 |
| Away | 5-6 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 0-5 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 2-0 |
| Streak | L4 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.2 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.5 | 68.5 |
| Massey | 9.9 (#34) | 13.0 (#19) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.78 (#29) | 0.62 (#128) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.60 (#30) | 0.88 (#127) |
| RPI | 0.583 (#110) | 0.469 (#220) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MIZ | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 57.2% | 51.3% |
| 3PT% | 41.8% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 42.3 | 47.5 |
| OREB / G | 14.0 | 15.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 63.6% | 56.5% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 43.3% | 47.7% |
| FT Rate | 30.0% | 45.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 37.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 21.1% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 75.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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