Betting Lines
| Spread | SDAK -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 164.5 Under |
| Money | SDAK -360 USI +280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDAK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDAK +15 | 163 | Won |
| Massey | SDAK -13.6 (+1.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.6 (+9.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDAK -6.5 (+8.5) | 143.6 (+19.4) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDAK -6.9 (+8.1) | 151.5 (+11.5) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SDAK -7.7 (+7.3) | 146.1 (+16.9) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 23, 2024 | USI 92 – 83 SDAK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDAK | USI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 7-23 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 4-16 |
| Home | 12-5 | 3-10 |
| Away | 3-10 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.0 | 67.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.7 | 74.3 |
| Massey | -6.8 (#298) | -9.7 (#327) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.38 (#348) | -2.09 (#338) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.12 (#343) | -2.94 (#337) |
| RPI | 0.146 (#352) | 0.312 (#310) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDAK | USI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.0% | 33.1% |
| 3PT% | 21.9% | 25.4% |
| REB / G | 41.0 | 42.0 |
| OREB / G | 17.5 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.52 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.5% | 38.5% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 15.0% |
| ORB% | 38.9% | 25.3% |
| FT Rate | 25.7% | 18.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 60.3% | 66.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 12.2% | 25.7% |
Game Analysis
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