Betting Lines
| Spread | CMU -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | COPP +500 CMU -800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COPP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CMU +23 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | CMU -10.4 (-12.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.2 (-9.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CMU -7.7 (-15.3) | 138.3 (+2.7) | 22% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CMU -9.9 (-13.1) | 135.0 (+6.0) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CMU -8.6 (-14.4) | 136.4 (+4.6) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CMU -7.8 (-15.2) | 139.7 (+1.3) | 18% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COPP | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-24 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 5-9 | 6-12 |
| Home | 3-6 | 8-5 |
| Away | 4-15 | 1-15 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-4 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.3 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.0 | 77.7 |
| Massey | -16.0 (#358) | -5.6 (#271) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.18 (#340) | -0.68 (#247) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.22 (#343) | -1.02 (#253) |
| RPI | 0.281 (#338) | 0.443 (#244) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COPP | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.6% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 29.6% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 30.0 | 38.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 13.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.62 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 41.7% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 25.6% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 26.9% | 36.0% |
| FT Rate | 33.7% | 18.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.7% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 13.9% |
| DRB% | 60.9% | 66.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 35.9% | 27.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.