Betting Lines
| Spread | LIN -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | CHSO +135 LIN -155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CHSO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIN +6 | 160 | Lost |
| Massey | CHSO -11.7 (-17.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 170.3 (-10.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CHSO -7.3 (-13.3) | 151.3 (+8.7) | 77% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CHSO -9.7 (-15.7) | 150.9 (+9.1) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CHSO -10.6 (-16.6) | 152.8 (+7.2) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CHSO -8.2 (-14.2) | 150.8 (+9.2) | 80% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CHSO | LIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 6-10 | 11-9 |
| Home | 10-4 | 9-5 |
| Away | 5-11 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-2 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.9 | 74.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.0 | 75.0 |
| Massey | -0.9 (#188) | -12.6 (#350) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.06 (#88) | -0.74 (#257) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.41 (#89) | -1.08 (#258) |
| RPI | 0.550 (#137) | 0.438 (#247) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CHSO | LIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.9% | 37.1% |
| 3PT% | 39.7% | 24.3% |
| REB / G | 40.5 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 14.5 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.79 | 0.37 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 40.9% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 24.1% |
| ORB% | 33.7% | 25.3% |
| FT Rate | 19.0% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 61.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 9.9% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 56.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.3% | 26.6% |
Game Analysis
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