Betting Lines
| Spread | HOF -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | BUCK +155 HOF -185 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BUCK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOF +6 | 160 | Lost |
| Massey | BUCK -8.1 (-14.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.0 (+21.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BUCK -5.2 (-11.2) | 136.0 (+24.0) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BUCK -5.5 (-11.5) | 136.3 (+23.7) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BUCK -6.3 (-12.3) | 138.7 (+21.3) | 69% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2021 | HOF 88 – 69 BUCK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BUCK | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-23 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 12-6 |
| Home | 6-8 | 10-2 |
| Away | 4-13 | 9-8 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-1 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.4 | 74.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 68.2 |
| Massey | 3.2 (#118) | 5.0 (#87) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.72 (#38) | -1.11 (#284) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.50 (#41) | -1.54 (#282) |
| RPI | 0.463 (#221) | 0.417 (#267) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BUCK | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 25.5% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 13.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 14.9% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 25.2% | 36.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.7% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 20.7% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 61.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.6% | 34.5% |
Game Analysis
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