Mississippi Valley State
Delta Devils
75
–
81
2OT
FINAL
Neutral
Rainbow Classic
Utah Tech
Trailblazers
Betting Lines
| Spread | UTU -26.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | MVSU +4000 UTU -100000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MVSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTU +6 | 156 | Lost |
| Massey | UTU -19.9 (+13.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.1 (+2.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTU -13.3 (+7.3) | 144.4 (+11.6) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTU -12.6 (+6.6) | 142.2 (+13.8) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTU -12.9 (+6.9) | 143.8 (+12.2) | 12% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTU -14.8 (+8.8) | 147.9 (+8.1) | 14% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MVSU | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 3-30 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 11-7 |
| Home | 2-9 | 11-3 |
| Away | 1-18 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-3 | 1-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.2 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 83.7 | 77.0 |
| Massey | -22.0 (#362) | -2.2 (#220) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.71 (#322) | 0.15 (#166) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.84 (#336) | 0.15 (#166) |
| RPI | 0.250 (#345) | 0.490 (#197) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MVSU | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 31.6% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 26.9% | 28.8% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.41 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 35.6% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 25.3% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 24.0% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 27.0% | 19.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.4% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 10.5% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 59.7% | 65.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.7% | 28.1% |
Game Analysis
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