Betting Lines
| Spread | RAD -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Under |
| Money | RAD -280 WRST +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RAD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WRST +33 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | RAD -4.7 (-37.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.6 (-2.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RAD -4.5 (-37.5) | 141.0 (+10.0) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RAD -3.7 (-36.7) | 141.4 (+9.6) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | RAD -3.4 (-36.4) | 142.6 (+8.4) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RAD -3.1 (-36.1) | 144.2 (+6.8) | 61% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RAD | WRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 15-5 |
| Home | 12-5 | 11-5 |
| Away | 4-8 | 9-5 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.9 | 79.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.8 | 75.6 |
| Massey | -0.4 (#177) | -5.1 (#265) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.02 (#179) | -3.17 (#356) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.06 (#183) | -4.79 (#356) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#172) | 0.312 (#324) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RAD | WRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 25.0% | 30.0% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 28.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.5 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.67 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 12.7% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 33.3% | 26.2% |
| FT Rate | 32.2% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 53.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 58.2% | 62.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 35.5% | 36.4% |
Game Analysis
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