Betting Lines
| Spread | LT -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | LT -400 JKST +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LT +17 | 119 | Won |
| Massey | LT -15.2 (+1.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.5 (-27.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LT -8.5 (+8.5) | 139.5 (-20.5) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LT -8.8 (+8.2) | 135.3 (-16.3) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LT -8.0 (+9.0) | 135.1 (-16.1) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 13, 2021 | LT 70 – 68 JKST |
| Dec 16, 2020 | LT 85 – 58 JKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LT | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 10-8 |
| Home | 14-3 | 7-3 |
| Away | 4-10 | 4-15 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.8 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.8 | 83.8 |
| Massey | -8.6 (#309) | -15.8 (#356) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.32 (#208) | -0.55 (#223) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.56 (#213) | -0.72 (#220) |
| RPI | 0.750 (#13) | 0.599 (#80) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LT | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.0% | 35.2% |
| 3PT% | 13.6% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 26.0 | 24.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 5.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.65 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 39.0% | 42.4% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 22.2% | 12.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 15.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 63.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 14.3% |
| DRB% | 51.4% | 50.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 37.5% | 30.0% |
Game Analysis
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