Betting Lines
| Spread | MOST -0.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | MOST -110 UTA -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MOST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MOST +10 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | MOST -8.6 (+1.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 185.8 (-39.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MOST -7.9 (+2.1) | 158.8 (-12.8) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MOST -5.9 (+4.1) | 156.1 (-10.1) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MOST -8.4 (+1.6) | 165.6 (-19.6) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MOST -9.3 (+0.7) | 166.7 (-20.7) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 15, 2025 | UTA 67 – 49 MOST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MOST | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 2-18 | 6-10 |
| Home | 7-8 | 9-4 |
| Away | 1-12 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L6 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 73.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 75.7 |
| Massey | -0.3 (#177) | -1.9 (#207) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.02 (#188) | -1.67 (#302) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.05 (#188) | -2.30 (#294) |
| RPI | 0.630 (#54) | 0.484 (#205) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MOST | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 48.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 44.6% |
| REB / G | 42.0 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.5 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 1.63 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 58.8% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 33.8% | 34.4% |
| FT Rate | 28.1% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.7% | 59.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.5% | 11.5% |
| DRB% | 62.0% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 37.5% | 33.9% |
Game Analysis
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