Betting Lines
| Spread | KENT -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Under |
| Money | KENT -190 WRST +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KENT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KENT +4 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | WRST -4.8 (+8.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 175.4 (-27.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KENT -0.2 (+3.8) | 157.7 (-9.7) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WRST -2.6 (+6.6) | 154.3 (-6.3) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WRST -2.3 (+6.3) | 154.4 (-6.4) | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WRST -1.8 (+5.8) | 153.9 (-5.9) | 40% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KENT | WRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-10 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 15-5 |
| Home | 14-3 | 11-5 |
| Away | 7-6 | 9-5 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-1 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 82.2 | 79.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.6 | 75.6 |
| Massey | -2.1 (#210) | 2.7 (#127) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.02 (#185) | -1.36 (#281) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.26 (#196) | -2.07 (#294) |
| RPI | 0.451 (#241) | 0.448 (#244) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KENT | WRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.0% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 40.5% | 40.0% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 13.5 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.62 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.0% | 55.3% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 37.5% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 38.3% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.7% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 64.1% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.0% | 32.5% |
Game Analysis
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