Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -26.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | TENN -10000 RICE +3000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +25 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | TENN -20.4 (+4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.6 (+16.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -19.1 (+5.9) | 138.5 (+18.5) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -16.9 (+8.1) | 138.4 (+18.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -21.2 (+3.8) | 137.0 (+20.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -18.6 (+6.4) | 135.7 (+21.3) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TENN | RICE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-12 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 7-11 |
| Home | 14-3 | 8-8 |
| Away | 5-5 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 6-4 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 76.8 |
| Massey | 9.7 (#48) | -3.5 (#240) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.12 (#103) | -0.53 (#224) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.48 (#112) | -0.57 (#214) |
| RPI | 0.502 (#174) | 0.555 (#113) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TENN | RICE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.3% | 38.8% |
| 3PT% | 37.0% | 45.2% |
| REB / G | 51.0 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 17.3 | 13.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.53 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.1% | 47.1% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 53.1% | 35.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.3% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 74.3% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.7% | 31.9% |
Game Analysis
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