Betting Lines
| Spread | TEM -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | TEM -240 HOF +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEM +5 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | TEM -4.9 (+0.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.4 (-1.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 16% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 5% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEM -3.5 (+1.5) | 147.8 (+9.2) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEM -5.4 (-0.4) | 146.5 (+10.5) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TEM -7.9 (-2.9) | 149.2 (+7.8) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEM -6.3 (-1.3) | 150.5 (+6.5) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 15, 2024 | TEM 60 – 42 HOF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEM | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 12-6 |
| Home | 10-6 | 10-2 |
| Away | 5-6 | 9-8 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.0 | 74.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 68.2 |
| Massey | 2.5 (#135) | 4.3 (#111) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.52 (#290) | 1.45 (#80) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.08 (#284) | 2.56 (#64) |
| RPI | 0.413 (#288) | 0.601 (#72) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEM | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 37.3% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 13.7 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 2.53 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 9.5% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 36.3% | 33.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 28.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 21.3% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 63.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 33.1% |
Game Analysis
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