Betting Lines
| Spread | CLE -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Over |
| Money | CLE -135 VAL +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VAL +15 | 165 | Lost |
| Massey | CLE -8.0 (-23.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.1 (+3.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 41% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 35% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLE -4.6 (-19.6) | 147.3 (+17.7) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLE -3.7 (-18.7) | 146.5 (+18.5) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CLE -4.3 (-19.3) | 146.1 (+18.9) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLE -3.5 (-18.5) | 146.4 (+18.6) | 65% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 13, 2024 | CLE 75 – 67 VAL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLE | VAL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-22 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 11-9 |
| Home | 7-8 | 13-4 |
| Away | 3-13 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-3 | 3-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.6 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 88.6 | 71.9 |
| Massey | -8.2 (#307) | -9.5 (#320) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.57 (#295) | 0.11 (#173) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.61 (#303) | -0.32 (#196) |
| RPI | 0.457 (#234) | 0.461 (#227) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLE | VAL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 35.5% |
| 3PT% | 37.2% | 29.4% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 13.2 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.2% | 42.0% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 14.9% |
| ORB% | 37.3% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 33.6% | 29.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.2% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.0% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 63.3% | 66.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.7% | 27.0% |
Game Analysis
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