Betting Lines
| Spread | UCLA -25.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | UCLA -100000 PRES +4000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCLA +40 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | UCLA -18.3 (+21.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 122.4 (+9.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCLA -18.3 (+21.7) | 130.1 (+1.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCLA -16.0 (+24.0) | 129.1 (+2.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCLA -17.3 (+22.7) | 129.0 (+3.0) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCLA -16.8 (+23.2) | 128.6 (+3.4) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCLA | PRES |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-12 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 7-9 |
| Home | 17-1 | 10-4 |
| Away | 4-6 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 3-5 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.1 | 70.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.1 | 73.1 |
| Massey | 7.8 (#65) | -4.2 (#246) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.97 (#52) | -0.94 (#257) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.34 (#40) | -1.55 (#264) |
| RPI | 0.594 (#73) | 0.436 (#263) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCLA | PRES |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 25.5% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.43 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 45.1% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 36.0% | 36.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 25.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.8% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 64.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 30.3% |
Game Analysis
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