Betting Lines
| Spread | BTLR -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | SC +155 BTLR -185 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BTLR +7 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | BTLR -6.8 (-0.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.1 (-10.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BTLR -3.9 (-3.1) | 153.9 (-2.9) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BTLR -3.3 (-3.7) | 149.8 (+1.2) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BTLR -3.0 (-4.0) | 150.8 (+0.2) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BTLR -3.7 (-3.3) | 152.5 (-1.5) | 35% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SC | BTLR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 7-13 |
| Home | 11-8 | 10-7 |
| Away | 2-8 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-0 | 3-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 79.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.5 | 77.5 |
| Massey | 6.4 (#80) | 13.3 (#24) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.43 (#85) | 0.54 (#148) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.98 (#97) | 1.09 (#132) |
| RPI | 0.579 (#91) | 0.472 (#217) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SC | BTLR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 49.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 40.2% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 46.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 16.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.74 | 1.38 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.2% | 57.3% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 45.0% |
| FT Rate | 28.4% | 32.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.6% | 47.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.9% | 15.8% |
Game Analysis
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