Betting Lines
| Spread | SDAK -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Under |
| Money | WMU +125 SDAK -145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDAK +4 | 156 | Lost |
| Massey | SDAK -1.5 (-2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 167.1 (-11.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDAK -0.8 (-3.2) | 152.4 (+3.6) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDAK -0.5 (-3.5) | 157.4 (-1.4) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SDAK -1.0 (-3.0) | 153.8 (+2.2) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDAK -1.0 (-3.0) | 152.7 (+3.3) | 42% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 16, 2025 | SDAK 83 – 78 WMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WMU | SDAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 9-7 |
| Home | 6-9 | 14-2 |
| Away | 6-10 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-3 | 2-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 84.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.0 | 86.6 |
| Massey | -8.7 (#313) | -0.4 (#185) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.23 (#330) | 0.65 (#142) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.69 (#338) | 0.97 (#135) |
| RPI | 0.332 (#335) | 0.519 (#160) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WMU | SDAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.3% | 46.9% |
| 3PT% | 26.0% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.3% | 53.6% |
| TOV% | 10.8% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 27.7% | 32.5% |
| FT Rate | 26.8% | 26.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.2% | 54.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 81.7% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 20.7% |
Game Analysis
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