Betting Lines
| Spread | SCU -19.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | SCU -7500 UL +2000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCU +37 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | SCU -27.3 (+9.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.9 (-18.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SCU -23.3 (+13.7) | 133.4 (-10.4) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SCU -22.0 (+15.0) | 139.8 (-16.8) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SCU -24.9 (+12.1) | 139.6 (-16.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCU -23.9 (+13.1) | 134.8 (-11.8) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCU | UL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-9 | 11-22 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 7-11 |
| Home | 14-1 | 7-8 |
| Away | 8-3 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 4-5 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 82.9 | 63.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.5 | 70.7 |
| Massey | 9.6 (#53) | -11.5 (#341) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.69 (#18) | -2.49 (#334) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.92 (#26) | -4.13 (#339) |
| RPI | 0.774 (#2) | 0.310 (#355) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCU | UL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.5% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 30.1% |
| REB / G | 40.8 | 30.4 |
| OREB / G | 16.5 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.67 | 0.63 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.9% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 44.9% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 19.8% | 19.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.0% | 54.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 37.4% | 48.7% |
Game Analysis
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