Betting Lines
| Spread | BALL -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | BALL -900 DETM +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BALL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DETM +11 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | BALL -11.6 (-22.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.6 (-23.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BALL -5.5 (-16.5) | 143.6 (-14.6) | 69% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BALL -4.6 (-15.6) | 140.1 (-11.1) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BALL -5.4 (-16.4) | 149.4 (-20.4) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BALL -6.1 (-17.1) | 145.7 (-16.7) | 75% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2023 | BALL 68 – 65 DETM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BALL | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-17 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 4-16 |
| Home | 8-7 | 6-7 |
| Away | 4-9 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-3 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L8 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 66.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 76.6 |
| Massey | -5.5 (#277) | -10.4 (#330) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.34 (#358) | -0.97 (#259) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.54 (#360) | -1.70 (#268) |
| RPI | 0.263 (#353) | 0.460 (#232) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BALL | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.2% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 30.7% | 37.7% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 42.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 14.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 0.69 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.7% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 13.0% | 22.2% |
| ORB% | 20.9% | 37.4% |
| FT Rate | 38.4% | 27.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.6% | 14.8% |
| DRB% | 76.0% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 35.6% | 26.6% |
Game Analysis
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