Betting Lines
| Spread | MASS -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | MASS -240 GB +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MASS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GB +4 | 154 | Lost |
| Massey | MASS -2.8 (-6.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.5 (+1.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MASS -4.3 (-8.3) | 141.9 (+12.1) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MASS -4.0 (-8.0) | 142.0 (+12.0) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MASS -3.4 (-7.4) | 144.1 (+9.9) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MASS -3.5 (-7.5) | 142.9 (+11.1) | 66% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MASS | GB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 12-8 |
| Home | 11-5 | 10-4 |
| Away | 2-8 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.9 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.8 | 75.9 |
| Massey | -1.0 (#191) | -3.8 (#237) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.45 (#210) | -1.67 (#302) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.84 (#220) | -2.52 (#297) |
| RPI | 0.449 (#246) | 0.447 (#251) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MASS | GB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 40.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 29.5% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 31.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 7.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 20.9% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 36.4% | 21.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 57.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 10.9% |
| DRB% | 78.3% | 75.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.1% | 32.5% |
Game Analysis
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