Betting Lines
| Spread | MINN -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | MINN -120 SF +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MINN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SF +12 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | MINN -2.2 (-14.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.8 (+12.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MINN -1.6 (-13.6) | 132.7 (+9.3) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MINN -2.3 (-14.3) | 127.8 (+14.2) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MINN -2.1 (-14.1) | 131.1 (+10.9) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MINN -3.2 (-15.2) | 131.7 (+10.3) | 65% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 27, 2023 | SF 76 – 58 MINN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MINN | SF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 8-10 |
| Home | 13-4 | 10-6 |
| Away | 2-9 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.5 | 73.8 |
| Massey | 3.8 (#113) | 1.5 (#144) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#156) | -0.42 (#208) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.20 (#176) | -1.06 (#232) |
| RPI | 0.454 (#235) | 0.468 (#222) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MINN | SF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 27.3% | 39.8% |
| REB / G | 42.2 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 14.0 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.62 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 56.2% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 39.5% | 36.8% |
| FT Rate | 37.0% | 34.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.5% | 44.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 78.3% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.